The Josh Lafazan Show

FACT CHECK: Trump LOSING the Youth Vote – 54-Point COLLAPSE in Just 5 Months

Episode Notes

In today’s episode, we’re diving deep into a massive shift in American politics that could define the future of elections — particularly in 2026: Trump has officially LOST the youth vote.

And we’re not talking about a small drop; this is a 54-point collapse in just five months. If you're wondering how this happened — and why it matters — stick with me, because we’re breaking down the numbers, the issues, and why Democrats must act fast to reclaim this generation.

Segment 1: The Data is Devastating
Let’s start with the numbers that speak for themselves:
According to the latest CBS News poll:

Early February 2025: Trump’s approval among voters aged 18-29 was 55%.

July 2025: Trump’s approval has plummeted to just 28%. That’s a staggering 54-point net collapse in less than half a year.

This isn’t just a blip; it’s a generational shift in polling, and it’s happening faster than many expected.

Segment 2: How Trump Won Young Men (and Why It’s Over)
Remember the days when Trump’s “anti-establishment” bravado, memes, and anti-woke rhetoric resonated with a portion of Gen Z, particularly young white and Latino men? That wave helped Trump capture some of the youth vote in 2020. However, the charm has worn off. Young men who were once enamored by Trump’s “fighter” persona are now deeply alienated by his policies and rhetoric. Here’s how the landscape has shifted:

Abortion Rights: Trump’s actions around abortion, including overturning Roe v. Wade, angered young voters, especially women. 70% of voters aged 18-29 believe abortion should be legal in most cases.

Climate Change: Gen Z cares about the environment, and Trump’s dismal record — from pulling out of the Paris Climate Agreement to undermining climate science — is a deal-breaker.

Student Debt: Trump’s refusal to address the student loan crisis is alienating young voters who carry burdensome debt. Over 70% of Gen Z borrowers support loan forgiveness, but Trump opposes it.

LGBTQ+ Rights: Trump’s stance on LGBTQ+ rights, including banning transgender athletes and rolling back protections, has pushed away young voters who see inclusivity as vital.

Gun Violence: As school shootings continue to rise, Trump’s pro-gun stance is at odds with the desires of young Americans, who overwhelmingly support stronger gun regulations.

Segment 3: The Collapse - Why the Youth Vote Is Leaving Trump
Why has this shift happened so suddenly? It boils down to Trump’s inability to connect with the issues young people care most about. His extremism on social issues, climate change denial, and economic policies have driven young voters to turn their backs on him.

Segment 4: Trump’s Dominance in New Media and Why Democrats Need to Wake Up
Trump didn’t win the youth vote through traditional media outlets like Fox News. No, he used podcasts, social media, and influencers to craft his image. Figures like Joe Rogan, Ben Shapiro, and Andrew Tate were instrumental in shaping his appeal. Meanwhile, Democrats have been stuck relying on traditional media. They’ve been slow to engage on platforms like TikTok, YouTube, and Twitch.

If Democrats want to win back Gen Z, they need to own the digital space. Young voters are all about authenticity and relatability. Democrats need new voices and to meet young voters where they are: online.

Segment 5: What This Means for 2026
Here’s why all of this matters for the 2026 midterms:

Gen Z is now the largest voting bloc in America.

They turned out in historic numbers in 2022, helping Democrats hold the Senate and stop Republican takeovers in statehouses.

If Democrats can energize Gen Z again in 2026, they could dominate the midterms.

But if Democrats can’t connect with this generation, or if they fail to inspire them, we risk Gen Z staying home or drifting to third parties.

Segment 6: The Future of Gen Z and Political Parties
This isn’t just about Trump; it’s about the future of political alignment. In the past:

2008–2012: Young voters were overwhelmingly Democratic (Obama years).

2016–2023: A shift occurred, with some young men moving toward Trump.

2025: Trump’s collapse among youth, particularly with Gen Z, signals a major realignment.

So, what’s next? Will Gen Z permanently side with Democrats, or will they demand a new political identity? Regardless of what happens, Gen Z’s influence is undeniable, and political parties must adapt.

Closing Thoughts:
Trump’s historic unpopularity with young voters is a golden opportunity for Democrats. However, to truly capitalize on it, they must act quickly. This generation demands real change on climate, economic justice, and social issues. They’re progressive but skeptical of traditional political structures. Democrats need to speak their language and take action, not just throw out slogans.

As for Trump? He’s losing the youth vote — and it could cost Republicans in 2026.